Week of 3 Aug - 9 Aug 2026

The standout selection of the week was **Crown Board** at Ascot, which delivered a remarkable +10.00 points profit. Crown Board showcased a strong performance, affirming our AI's confidence in its potential to thrive on the Ascot turf. Our Lay of the Week, **Tolebi** at Naas, also proved advantageous, yielding a +1.00 points profit. This lay selection was well-calibrated, aligning with our strategy to target overvalued horses. Moreover, our AI achieved perfect predictions in 70 races, maintaining an accuracy rate of 75% or higher. This level of precision indicates that, while financial results may not have aligned with expectations, the AI’s analysis is still robust in identifying potential winners.

Diving deeper into performance, it is evident that place bets were the key to our week’s success. With a striking 68.3% success rate, they provided a vital cushion amidst the losses in win and lay bets, which both underperformed. The stark contrast in performance between these bet types emphasizes the need for strategic adjustments—focusing more on place betting where our strengths lie could yield better results moving forward. Looking at the courses, Ascot emerged as a strong performer with a +19.00 points return and a 40% win rate. Naas also showed promise with +18.66 points and a win rate of 66.7%. However, courses like Brighton yielded lower returns, suggesting that not all tracks are equally favorable for our AI's predictions. Analyzing performance by confidence level, high confidence selections (70%+) showed a disappointing 32.9% strike rate, resulting in a -36.9% ROI. This discrepancy raises questions about our confidence assessment models and indicates a need to refine how we gauge race dynamics and horse capabilities.

This week, we witnessed several horses that slipped through our radar but performed exceptionally well. **Who's Da Goose** at Wexford won at 26.0, despite our AI assigning it only a 15% win probability. Similarly, **West Away** also at Wexford and **Missouri Snow** at Sligo delivered unexpected victories at odds of 11.0 and 10.0, respectively, further emphasizing the unpredictable nature of racing. These missed opportunities remind us of the inherent unpredictability of the sport and the importance of continuously refining our predictive models.